← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Mar 3, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Álvaro Moreno
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 56% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
| Mirandes win | 15% | 6.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes −0.75 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Tenerife −0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.44 |
| Over | 33% | 2.92 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Houboulang Mendes · Mirandes |
| 22' | ⚽ (pen) | Enric Gallego · Tenerife |
| 30' | ⚽ | Luismi Cruz · Tenerife |
| 38' | 🟨 | Pablo Ramón · Mirandes |
| 48' | 🟨 | Enric Gallego · Tenerife |
| 50' | ⚽ (pen) | Carlos Martín · Mirandes |
| 54' | 🟨 | Yanis Rahmani · Tenerife |
| 72' | 🟨 | Mathis Lachuer · Mirandes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nikola Šipčić · Tenerife |
| 90' | 🟨 | Teto · Tenerife |
| 90' | 🟨 | Carlos Martín |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.07 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz |
| coach days | 246.00 | 246.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 1.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1469.16 | 1484.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.35 | -22.02 |
| eye test v1 | -1.30 | -0.91 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 63.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.74 |
| league points | 37.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.82 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.34 | 0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 25.03 | 22.78 |
| state index | -0.20 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | 0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |