← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Feb 18, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: José Guzmán
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 40% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Eibar win | 28% | 3.46 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Elche CF −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Carlos Clerc · Elche CF |
| 16' | 🟨 | Aleix Febas · Elche CF |
| 21' | 🟨 | Nicolás Fernández · Elche CF |
| 38' | 🟨 | John Nwankwo · Elche CF |
| 61' | 🟨 | Matheus Pereira · Eibar |
| 64' | 🟨 | Peru Nolaskoain Esnal · Eibar |
| 74' | 🟨 | Anaitz Arbilla · Eibar |
| 86' | 🟨 | Luca Zidane · Eibar |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 30 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Elche CF | Eibar |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| coach days | 354.00 | 232.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 3.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1552.56 | 1585.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.78 | 36.09 |
| eye test v1 | 0.32 | 0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.60 | 63.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.80 |
| league points | 43.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 8.20 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.89 | 0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.64 | 28.16 |
| state index | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.48 | 0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |