← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Feb 18, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Germán Cid
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ferrol win | 40% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Levante UD win | 29% | 3.42 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Levante UD −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Ferrol −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.59 |
| Over | 39% | 2.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟥 | Alex López · Ferrol |
| 51' | 🟨 | Álex Muñoz · Levante UD |
| 60' | 🟨 | Ander Capa · Levante UD |
| 75' | 🟨 | Sergio Lozano · Levante UD |
| 77' | 🟨 | Moises Delgado · Ferrol |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 14 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ferrol | Levante UD |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de A Malata |
| coach days | 1112.00 | 17.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 3.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1518.22 | 1579.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.04 | -10.34 |
| eye test v1 | -0.43 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | -0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.40 | 51.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.68 |
| league points | 49.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 6.80 | 8.82 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.45 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.02 | 27.63 |
| state index | -0.19 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.58 | 0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |