← Segunda División 2023 · Sat, Feb 17, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Saúl Ais
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 50% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Burgos win | 21% | 4.92 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Burgos −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Sebas Moyano · Oviedo |
| 35' | 🟨 | Jonathan Dubasin · Oviedo |
| 42' | ⚽ | Jaime Seoane · Oviedo |
| 45' | ⚽ | Sebas Moyano · Oviedo |
| 51' | ⚽ | Sebas Moyano · Oviedo |
| 67' | 🟨 | Sebas Moyano · Oviedo |
| 89' | ⚽ (pen) | Borja Bastón · Oviedo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 15 |
| 11 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 5 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere |
| coach days | 169.00 | 261.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.31 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1555.95 | 1515.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.95 | 10.84 |
| eye test v1 | 0.92 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 60.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.78 |
| league points | 40.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.80 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 5.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.40 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.80 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.18 | -0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.62 | 27.74 |
| state index | 0.28 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.48 | -0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |