← Segunda División 2023 · Fri, Feb 16, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Iván Caparrós
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 52% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Cartagena win | 18% | 6.19 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza −0.5 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Cartagena −0.5 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 71% | 1.39 |
| Over | 29% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Darío Poveda · Cartagena |
| 18' | 🟨 | Tomás Alarcón · Cartagena |
| 41' | 🟨 | Maikel Mesa · Zaragoza |
| 44' | 🟥 | Jairo Izquierdo · Cartagena |
| 58' | 🟨 | Toni Moya · Zaragoza |
| 58' | 🟨 | Arnau Ortiz · Cartagena |
| 68' | 🟨 | Arnau Solà · Cartagena |
| 70' | 🟨 | Akim Zedadka · Zaragoza |
| 75' | 🟨 | Damian Musto · Cartagena |
| 75' | ⚽ | Alejandro Francés · Zaragoza |
| 76' | 🟨 | Raúl Lizoain |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| 79' | 🟨 | Alejandro Francés · Zaragoza |
| 89' | ⚽ | Jose Fontán · Cartagena |
| coach days | 107.00 | 168.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1537.74 | 1494.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.34 | 67.60 |
| eye test v1 | -0.62 | -0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.20 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.66 |
| league points | 43.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 40.20 |
| rest days | 5.08 | 5.18 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.28 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.31 | -1.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.87 | 30.53 |
| state index | 0.61 | 0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | -0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |