← Segunda División 2023 · Mon, Feb 12, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Manuel Orellana
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 49% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.31 |
| Albacete win | 22% | 4.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Valladolid −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.62 |
| Over | 40% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Julio Alonso · Albacete |
| 27' | 🟨 | Iván Sánchez · Valladolid |
| 47' | 🟨 | David Torres · Valladolid |
| 64' | 🟨 | Kaiky · Albacete |
| 66' | 🟨 | Flavien Boyomo · Valladolid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Bernabé Barragán · Albacete |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valladolid | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla |
| coach days | 317.00 | 621.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.02 | 1.29 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1573.90 | 1455.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.99 | -29.37 |
| eye test v1 | -0.72 | -0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 47.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.58 |
| league points | 43.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 9.08 | 9.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.59 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.58 | 0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 28.51 | 26.49 |
| state index | 0.21 | -0.90 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.73 | 0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |