← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Feb 11, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: José López
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena win | 42% | 2.32 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Mirandes win | 26% | 3.79 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Mirandes −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.51 |
| Over | 35% | 2.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | ⚽ | Darío Poveda · Cartagena |
| 40' | 🟨 | Andy Rodríguez · Cartagena |
| 42' | 🟨 | Tomás Alarcón · Cartagena |
| 56' | 🟨 | Arnau Ortiz · Cartagena |
| 75' | 🟨 | Ivan Calero · Cartagena |
| 78' | 🟨 | Alberto Reina · Mirandes |
| 81' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Verdú · Cartagena |
| 88' | 🟨 | Houboulang Mendes · Mirandes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 18 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 7 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cartagena | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Cartagonova |
| coach days | 163.00 | 225.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.14 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1484.79 | 1528.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 42.06 | 14.30 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | -0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 66.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.77 |
| league points | 34.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 8.09 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.39 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.80 | -0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 30.68 | 23.05 |
| state index | 0.67 | 0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.75 | -0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |