← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Feb 4, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: José Guzmán
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Eldense win | 20% | 5.03 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Eldense −0.5 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.51 |
| Over | 37% | 2.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | David Timor · Eldense |
| 23' | ⚽ | Ivan Chapela · Eldense |
| 27' | 🟨 | Santiago Colombatto · Oviedo |
| 33' | 🟨 | Marc Mateu · Eldense |
| 33' | 🟨 | Jesús Clemente · Eldense |
| 70' | 🟥 | Dario Đumić · Eldense |
| 71' | ⚽ (pen) | Borja Bastón · Oviedo |
| 82' | 🟨 | Dauda Mohammed · Eldense |
| 90' | 🟨 | Derick Poloni · Eldense |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 27 | Shots | 7 |
| 9 | On target | 2 |
| 16 | Corners | 5 |
| 5 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Eldense |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere |
| coach days | 156.00 | 583.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 3.29 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1579.27 | 1494.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.62 | 26.91 |
| eye test v1 | 0.62 | 0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.45 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.58 |
| league points | 39.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 7.91 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.91 | -0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.46 | 28.14 |
| state index | 0.63 | 0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.60 | -0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |