← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Feb 4, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Luis Milla
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar win | 38% | 2.54 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.00 |
| Ferrol win | 31% | 3.34 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ferrol +0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Eibar +0.25 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.62 |
| Over | 40% | 2.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Moises Delgado · Ferrol |
| 53' | ⚽ | Jon Bautista · Eibar |
| 57' | 🟨 | Francisco De La Manzanara · Ferrol |
| 69' | 🟨 | Ager Aketxe · Eibar |
| 87' | 🟨 | Álvaro Giménez · Ferrol |
| 88' | 🟨 | Cristián Gutiérrez · Eibar |
| 90' | 🟨 | Álvaro Vadillo · Ferrol |
| 90' | 🟨 | Enrique Clemente · Ferrol |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Sabin Merino · Ferrol |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 19 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ferrol | Eibar |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de A Malata |
| coach days | 1098.00 | 218.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.02 | 4.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1532.36 | 1578.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.39 | 26.23 |
| eye test v1 | -0.48 | 0.90 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 64.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.77 |
| league points | 48.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 62.00 |
| rest days | 6.71 | 8.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.78 | 1.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.03 | 1.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 29.51 | 27.70 |
| state index | 0.24 | 0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.10 | 0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |