← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Jan 28, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Miguel Sesma
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos win | 38% | 2.64 |
| Albacete win | 31% | 3.15 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos +0 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Albacete +0 | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.54 |
| Over | 37% | 2.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Fernando Niño · Burgos |
| 24' | 🟨 | Lander Olaetxea · Albacete |
| 38' | ⚽ | Álvaro Rodriguez · Albacete |
| 84' | ⚽ | Curro · Burgos |
| 87' | 🟨 | Curro · Burgos |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burgos | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de El Plantío |
| coach days | 241.00 | 606.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1504.90 | 1463.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.39 | -22.79 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | -0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | -0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 45.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.58 |
| league points | 36.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 5.92 | 8.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.61 | 0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.19 | 27.05 |
| state index | 0.26 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | 0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |