← Segunda División 2023 · Mon, Jan 15, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Miguel González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eldense win | 35% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.82 |
| Zaragoza win | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eldense +0 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Zaragoza +0 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 71% | 1.38 |
| Over | 29% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Víctor Mollejo Carpintero · Zaragoza |
| 29' | ⚽ | Maikel Mesa · Zaragoza |
| 36' | ⚽ | Mario Soberón · Eldense |
| 47' | 🟨 | Marc Mateu · Eldense |
| 67' | 🟨 | Marc Aguado · Zaragoza |
| 68' | 🟨 | Alex Bernal · Eldense |
| 74' | 🟨 | Jair Amador · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Derick Poloni · Eldense |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sergi Enrich · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 4 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eldense | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat |
| coach days | 563.00 | 75.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 2.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1470.22 | 1503.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.43 | 5.61 |
| eye test v1 | -0.85 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.50 | 62.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.68 |
| league points | 26.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 27.06 | 26.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.39 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.20 | -0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.43 | 26.06 |
| state index | -0.65 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |