← Segunda División 2023 · Thu, Dec 21, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: José Guzmán
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 46% | 2.11 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Cartagena win | 21% | 4.81 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Huesca −0.5 | 47% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 71% | 1.37 |
| Over | 29% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Ignasi Vilarrasa · Huesca |
| 32' | 🟨 | Jose Fontán · Cartagena |
| 35' | ⚽ | Hugo Vallejo · Huesca |
| 39' | ⚽ | Iker Kortajarena · Huesca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| coach days | 81.00 | 111.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1461.54 | 1440.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.04 | 22.82 |
| eye test v1 | -1.05 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.70 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.63 |
| league points | 20.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 36.80 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 4.11 | 5.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.91 | 0.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.19 | -0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.19 | 29.32 |
| state index | -0.21 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.68 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |