← Segunda División 2023 · Wed, Dec 20, 08:30 PM UTC · ref: Iván Caparrós
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leganes win | 40% | 2.44 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.75 |
| Tenerife win | 25% | 4.06 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Leganes −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 73% | 1.32 |
| Over | 27% | 3.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 43' | 🟨 | Roberto López · Tenerife |
| 57' | ⚽ | Teto · Tenerife |
| 62' | 🟨 | Yvan Neyou · Leganes |
| 81' | 🟨 | Aritz Arambarri · Leganes |
| 84' | ⚽ | Sergio González · Leganes |
| 85' | 🟨 | José Amo · Tenerife |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sergio González · Tenerife |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leganes | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Butarque |
| coach days | 172.00 | 172.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 4.09 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1580.77 | 1504.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.38 | -9.29 |
| eye test v1 | -0.80 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.83 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 51.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.66 |
| league points | 42.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 4.13 | 3.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.91 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.02 | 0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.39 | 27.26 |
| state index | -0.25 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |