← Segunda División 2023 · Wed, Dec 20, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Álvaro Moreno
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Levante UD win | 26% | 3.88 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza −0.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Levante UD −0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.52 |
| Over | 37% | 2.66 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | 🟨 | Carlos Álvarez · Levante UD |
| 42' | ⚽ | Víctor Mollejo Carpintero · Zaragoza |
| 45' | ⚽ | Maikel Mesa · Zaragoza |
| 62' | ⚽ | Fabrício Santos · Levante UD |
| 67' | 🟨 | Santiago Mouriño · Zaragoza |
| 70' | ⚽ | Roger Brugué · Levante UD |
| 86' | 🟨 | Toni Moya · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andrés Fernández · Levante UD |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Levante UD |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| coach days | 49.00 | 445.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 3.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1502.84 | 1590.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.39 | 3.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.66 | 0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 42.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.84 |
| league points | 31.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 3.02 | 3.11 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.11 | 0.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 25.84 | 27.03 |
| state index | -0.37 | 0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.65 | -0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |