← Segunda División 2023 · Tue, Dec 19, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: Germán Cid
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 58% | 1.66 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
| Eldense win | 17% | 6.04 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete −0.75 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Eldense −0.75 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.77 |
| Over | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Florin Andone · Eldense |
| 16' | 🟨 | Pedro Capó · Eldense |
| 58' | 🟨 | Juanma García · Albacete |
| 70' | ⚽ | Higinio Marín · Albacete |
| 85' | 🟨 | Marc Olivier Doue · Eldense |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marc Olivier Doue · Eldense |
| 90' | 🟥 | Marc Olivier Doue · Eldense |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sergio Ortuño · Eldense |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Eldense |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio Carlos Belmonte |
| coach days | 566.00 | 536.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.86 | 3.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.32 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1484.85 | 1468.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.21 | -36.43 |
| eye test v1 | 0.37 | -0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.52 | — |
| league points | 27.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 2.92 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.60 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | -0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.64 | 28.41 |
| state index | 0.22 | -0.96 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.74 | -0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |