← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Dec 17, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: José López
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 40% | 2.54 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 |
| Amorebieta win | 28% | 3.49 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amorebieta +0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Zaragoza +0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 66% | 1.46 |
| Over | 34% | 2.88 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Daniel Rebollo · Zaragoza |
| 7' | 🟨 | Víctor Mollejo Carpintero · Zaragoza |
| 10' | ⚽ | Félix Martí · Amorebieta |
| 17' | 🟨 | Jon Morcillo · Amorebieta |
| 41' | 🟨 | Kwasi Sibo · Amorebieta |
| 43' | ⚽ (pen) | Maikel Mesa · Zaragoza |
| 75' | 🟨 | Manu · Amorebieta |
| 89' | 🟨 | Àlex Carbonell · Amorebieta |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Amorebieta | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Instalaciones de Lezama Campo 2 |
| coach days | 16.00 | 46.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1398.30 | 1504.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.35 | -25.98 |
| eye test v1 | -0.42 | -0.94 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 60.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.64 |
| league points | 15.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.80 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 8.09 | 8.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.71 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.91 | 0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 25.53 | 25.64 |
| state index | -0.58 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.49 | 0.72 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |