← Segunda División 2023 · Fri, Dec 15, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Salvador Lax
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 43% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
| Elche CF win | 27% | 4.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Elche CF −0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.49 |
| Over | 35% | 2.77 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Óscar Plano · Elche CF |
| 31' | ⚽ | Masca · Oviedo |
| 40' | ⚽ | Nicolás Fernández · Elche CF |
| 59' | 🟨 | Rodrigo Mendoza · Elche CF |
| 60' | 🟨 | Aleix Febas · Elche CF |
| 68' | ⚽ | Borja Bastón · Oviedo |
| 69' | 🟨 | Sergio Carreira · Elche CF |
| 73' | 🟨 | Santiago Colombatto · Oviedo |
| 74' | 🟨 | Jimmy Suárez · Oviedo |
| 89' | ⚽ | Sebas Moyano · Oviedo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nicolás Fernández · Elche CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 11 | Shots | 18 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Elche CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere |
| coach days | 105.00 | 289.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 2.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1554.56 | 1547.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.72 | 4.37 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 50.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.75 |
| league points | 27.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 58.40 |
| rest days | 5.18 | 5.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.08 | 1.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.59 | 29.38 |
| state index | 0.43 | 0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.79 | 0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |