← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Dec 10, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Luis Milla
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 56% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.77 |
| Cartagena win | 18% | 5.58 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF −0.75 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Cartagena −0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Óscar Plano · Elche CF |
| 25' | 🟨 | Tete Morente · Elche CF |
| 66' | ⚽ | Alfredo Ortuño · Cartagena |
| 71' | 🟨 | Isak Jansson · Cartagena |
| 78' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Verdú · Cartagena |
| 84' | ⚽ | Luis Muñoz · Cartagena |
| 88' | 🟨 | Jose Fontán · Cartagena |
| 89' | 🟨 | Borja Garcés · Elche CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pedro Bigas · Elche CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alfredo Ortuño · Cartagena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Elche CF | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| coach days | 284.00 | 100.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1562.05 | 1444.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.63 | 32.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.26 | -0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.20 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.47 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.68 |
| league points | 32.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 41.00 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 7.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 0.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.65 | -0.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 29.21 | 29.76 |
| state index | 0.64 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.47 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |