← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Dec 3, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Jon González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 35% | 2.79 |
| Ferrol win | 34% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete +0 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Ferrol +0 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Manuel Fuster · Albacete |
| 20' | 🟥 | Juan Antonio Ros · Albacete |
| 30' | ⚽ | Josep Señé · Ferrol |
| 45' | 🟨 | Carlos Vicente · Ferrol |
| 48' | 🟨 | Toni Datković · Albacete |
| 50' | ⚽ | Dani Escriche · Albacete |
| 60' | ⚽ | Sabin Merino · Ferrol |
| 71' | ⚽ | Carlos Vicente · Ferrol |
| 75' | ⚽ | Lander Olaetxea · Albacete |
| 80' | ⚽ | Sabin Merino · Ferrol |
| 83' | 🟨 | Lander Olaetxea · Albacete |
| 84' | 🟨 | Jon García · Ferrol |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cristian Glauder · Albacete |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sabin Merino · Ferrol |
| 90' | ⚽ | Dani Escriche · Albacete |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 18 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ferrol | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.56 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de A Malata |
| coach days | 1035.00 | 550.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 3.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1498.46 | 1482.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 44.36 | 15.48 |
| eye test v1 | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.62 |
| league points | 32.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 7.19 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.80 | 0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.78 | 27.08 |
| state index | 0.35 | 0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.63 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |