← Segunda División 2023 · Sat, Dec 2, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Salvador Lax
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 38% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Leganes win | 29% | 3.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leganes −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Zaragoza −0.25 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.41 |
| Over | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Marc Aguado · Zaragoza |
| 34' | 🟨 | Víctor Mollejo Carpintero · Zaragoza |
| 39' | ⚽ | Maikel Mesa · Zaragoza |
| 65' | 🟨 | Miguel de la Fuente · Leganes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 5 |
| 2 | On target | 0 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Leganes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.80 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| coach days | 31.00 | 154.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1489.05 | 1595.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -42.42 | 25.04 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | 0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 53.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.77 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.75 |
| league points | 26.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 2.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.09 | -0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.83 | 27.42 |
| state index | -1.08 | 0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.42 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.00 |