← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Nov 26, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Andrés Fuentes
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 37% | 2.65 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.82 |
| Mirandes win | 29% | 3.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes +0.25 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Oviedo +0.25 | 45% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.40 |
| Over | 31% | 3.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Ilyas Chaira · Mirandes |
| 27' | ⚽ | Javier Martón Ansó · Mirandes |
| 28' | 🟨 | David Costas · Oviedo |
| 34' | 🟨 | Abel Bretones · Oviedo |
| 43' | 🟨 | Alberto Rodríguez · Mirandes |
| 49' | 🟨 | Javier Martón Ansó · Mirandes |
| 60' | 🟨 | Dani Calvo · Oviedo |
| 86' | ⚽ | Borja Bastón · Oviedo |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ilyas Chaira · Mirandes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mirandes | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Anduva |
| coach days | 148.00 | 86.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 0.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1488.36 | 1548.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.88 | 11.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.03 | -0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.70 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.87 |
| league points | 22.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.15 | 1.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 23.54 | 27.39 |
| state index | -0.06 | 0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.30 | 0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |