← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Nov 26, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Miguel González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leganes win | 48% | 2.09 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Ferrol win | 21% | 4.58 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ferrol −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Leganes −0.5 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 68% | 1.41 |
| Over | 32% | 3.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Iker Losada · Ferrol |
| 15' | ⚽ | Josep Señé · Ferrol |
| 29' | 🟨 | Álvaro Vadillo · Ferrol |
| 29' | 🟨 | Josep Señé · Ferrol |
| 29' | 🟥 | David Castro · Ferrol |
| 30' | ⚽ (pen) | Yvan Neyou · Leganes |
| 42' | ⚽ | Diego García · Leganes |
| 65' | 🟨 | Miguel de la Fuente · Leganes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 22 | Shots | 3 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 4 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leganes | Ferrol |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Butarque |
| coach days | 148.00 | 1028.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.77 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1600.15 | 1494.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.07 | 38.46 |
| eye test v1 | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.90 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.80 |
| league points | 38.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.40 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 8.71 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 2.24 | 1.72 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.49 | -0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.13 | 27.49 |
| state index | 0.78 | 0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.49 | -0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |