← Segunda División 2023 · Fri, Nov 24, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Saúl Ais
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 38% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Huesca win | 30% | 3.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca +0.25 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Valladolid +0.25 | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.49 |
| Over | 35% | 2.77 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Luis Pérez · Valladolid |
| 45' | 🟨 | Javi Mier · Huesca |
| 54' | 🟨 | Gerard Valentín · Huesca |
| 57' | ⚽ | Monchu · Valladolid |
| 63' | 🟨 | Raúl Moro · Valladolid |
| 64' | 🟨 | Lucas Rosa · Valladolid |
| 75' | 🟨 | David Torres · Valladolid |
| 79' | 🟨 | Álvaro Fernández · Huesca |
| 90' | 🟨 | Juanjo Nieto · Huesca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| coach days | 54.00 | 237.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.53 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1472.70 | 1607.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.17 | 9.43 |
| eye test v1 | -0.89 | 0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.57 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.75 |
| league points | 17.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 6.10 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.06 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.30 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.44 | 28.89 |
| state index | 0.06 | 0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.42 | -0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |