← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Nov 19, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 41% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.23 |
| Cartagena win | 29% | 3.69 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete +0.25 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Cartagena +0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Jonathan Silva · Albacete |
| 45' | ⚽ | Alfredo Ortuño · Cartagena |
| 60' | ⚽ | Higinio Marín · Albacete |
| 64' | 🟨 | Alfredo Ortuño · Cartagena |
| 79' | 🟨 | Cristian Glauder · Albacete |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 18 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 9 |
| 9 | Fouls | 20 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cartagena | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Cartagonova |
| coach days | 79.00 | 536.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 3.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1417.47 | 1473.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.64 | -28.08 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | 0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.58 |
| league points | 10.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 5.90 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.63 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.29 | -0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 31.08 | 27.25 |
| state index | -1.23 | -0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.38 | -0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |