← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Nov 19, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Manuel Orellana
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eldense win | 43% | 2.23 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.26 |
| Mirandes win | 27% | 3.66 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eldense −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Mirandes −0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | ⚽ | Alberto Reina · Mirandes |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Mario Soberón · Eldense |
| 47' | ⚽ | Mario Soberón · Eldense |
| 65' | 🟨 | Alberto Rodríguez · Mirandes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dario Đumić · Eldense |
| 90' | ⚽ | Alejandro Barbudo Barbu · Mirandes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 21 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eldense | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat |
| coach days | 506.00 | 141.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.73 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1506.75 | 1486.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 42.12 | 42.98 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.76 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.20 | 55.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.68 |
| league points | 22.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.40 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.40 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.32 | 0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.49 | 22.83 |
| state index | 0.52 | 0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |