← Segunda División 2023 · Sat, Nov 18, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Jon González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 46% | 2.14 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Huesca win | 23% | 4.34 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza −0.25 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Huesca −0.25 | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.45 |
| Over | 33% | 2.89 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟥 | Lluis Lopez · Zaragoza |
| 13' | 🟨 | Javi Martínez · Huesca |
| 15' | ⚽ | Samuel Obeng · Huesca |
| 36' | 🟨 | Santiago Mouriño · Zaragoza |
| 45' | 🟨 | Miguel Loureiro · Huesca |
| 71' | ⚽ | Juanjo Nieto · Huesca |
| 73' | 🟨 | Sergio Bermejo · Zaragoza |
| 81' | 🟨 | Gerard Valentín · Huesca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Huesca |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.43 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| coach days | 17.00 | 48.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.38 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1518.24 | 1452.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.06 | 6.92 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | -1.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 55.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.77 |
| league points | 26.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 0.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | -0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 25.72 | 27.22 |
| state index | -0.68 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.39 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |