← Segunda División 2023 · Mon, Nov 13, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Rubén Ávalos
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 53% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
| Cartagena win | 18% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Cartagena −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.51 |
| Over | 36% | 2.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Ivan Calero · Cartagena |
| 18' | 🟨 | Tomás Alarcón · Cartagena |
| 18' | 🟨 | Ivan Calero · Cartagena |
| 55' | 🟨 | Mikel Rico · Cartagena |
| 72' | 🟨 | Masca · Oviedo |
| 74' | 🟨 | Pedro Alcala · Cartagena |
| 80' | 🟨 | Juan Narváez · Cartagena |
| 85' | 🟨 | Alemão · Oviedo |
| 85' | 🟨 | Marc Martínez · Cartagena |
| 86' | 🟨 | Santiago Colombatto · Oviedo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dani Calvo · Oviedo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Hector Hevel · Cartagena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kiko Olivas · Cartagena |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Paulino De la Fuente · Oviedo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 2 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 8 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere |
| coach days | 73.00 | 73.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1543.84 | 1412.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.26 | -26.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.60 | 0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.20 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.65 |
| league points | 19.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.20 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 0.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.11 | -0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.50 | 28.75 |
| state index | 0.56 | -1.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.09 | -0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |