← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Nov 5, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amorebieta win | 35% | 2.92 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.94 |
| Huesca win | 32% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca +0 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Amorebieta +0 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.47 |
| Over | 35% | 2.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Samuel Obeng · Huesca |
| 59' | 🟥 | Iker Seguin · Amorebieta |
| 60' | ⚽ (pen) | Samuel Obeng · Huesca |
| 74' | 🟨 | Javier Avilés · Amorebieta |
| 74' | 🟨 | Juanjo Nieto · Huesca |
| 78' | 🟨 | Josué Dorrio · Amorebieta |
| 90' | 🟨 | Josep Gayá · Amorebieta |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 8 |
| 0 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Amorebieta | Huesca |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.42 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Instalaciones de Lezama Campo 2 |
| coach days | 614.00 | 35.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1401.98 | 1439.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.18 | -24.40 |
| eye test v1 | -0.75 | -1.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | — |
| league points | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 8.14 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.71 | 0.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.22 | -0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| squad age | 25.47 | 26.98 |
| state index | -1.26 | -0.76 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | -0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |