← Segunda División 2023 · Sat, Nov 4, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Miguel Sesma
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 44% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Elche CF win | 27% | 3.82 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Elche CF −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Fidel · Elche CF |
| 28' | 🟨 | Nicolás Castro · Elche CF |
| 37' | 🟨 | Riki Rodríguez · Albacete |
| 49' | ⚽ | Óscar Plano · Elche CF |
| 57' | 🟨 | Nicolás Castro · Elche CF |
| 57' | 🟥 | Nicolás Castro · Elche CF |
| 61' | 🟨 | Lander Olaetxea · Albacete |
| 67' | 🟨 | Mario Gaspar · Elche CF |
| 73' | 🟨 | Nicolás Fernández · Elche CF |
| 76' | ⚽ | Dani Escriche · Albacete |
| 90' | 🟨 | Agus Medina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Elche CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Estadio Carlos Belmonte |
| 90' | 🟨 | Raúl Guti · Elche CF |
| coach days | 521.00 | 248.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.71 | 3.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1468.11 | 1543.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -61.09 | 12.49 |
| eye test v1 | 0.10 | -0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 46.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.53 | 0.74 |
| league points | 15.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 6.20 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.04 | 0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.23 | 28.92 |
| state index | -1.04 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | 0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |