← Segunda División 2023 · Sat, Nov 4, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Jon González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 45% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Tenerife win | 24% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Tenerife −0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.50 |
| Over | 35% | 2.73 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Sergio González · Tenerife |
| 30' | 🟨 | Yann Bodiger · Tenerife |
| 64' | ⚽ | Monchu · Valladolid |
| 73' | 🟨 | Aitor Sanz · Tenerife |
| 84' | 🟨 | Monchu · Valladolid |
| 90' | ⚽ | Lucas Rosa · Valladolid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valladolid | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla |
| coach days | 217.00 | 126.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 1.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1589.89 | 1553.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.53 | 6.80 |
| eye test v1 | -0.08 | -0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 51.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.74 |
| league points | 25.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 7.94 | 6.94 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.79 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.41 | 0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.37 | 26.95 |
| state index | 0.19 | 0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |