← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Oct 22, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: Iosu Galech
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 37% | 2.65 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.01 |
| Huesca win | 31% | 3.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF +0 | 55% | 1.80 |
| Huesca +0 | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.58 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Nicolás Fernández · Elche CF |
| 21' | 🟨 | Lautaro Blanco · Elche CF |
| 67' | 🟨 | Kento Hashimoto · Huesca |
| 68' | 🟨 | Nicolás Castro · Elche CF |
| 73' | 🟨 | Rubén Pulido · Huesca |
| 90' | 🟨 | Oscar Sielva · Huesca |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pedro Bigas · Elche CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 4 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 20 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Elche CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| coach days | 21.00 | 235.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1450.53 | 1524.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.15 | -19.75 |
| eye test v1 | -1.17 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 50.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.73 |
| league points | 9.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.80 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.20 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 0.69 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.14 | 0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.59 | 28.90 |
| state index | -1.04 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.44 | 0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |