← Segunda División 2023 · Sat, Oct 21, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 35% | 2.80 |
| Eibar win | 33% | 2.91 |
| Zaragoza win | 32% | 3.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar +0 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Zaragoza +0 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.42 |
| Over | 33% | 2.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | José Antonio Ríos · Eibar |
| 37' | 🟨 | Maikel Mesa · Zaragoza |
| 39' | ⚽ | Maikel Mesa · Zaragoza |
| 41' | 🟨 | José Corpas · Eibar |
| 44' | ⚽ | Jaume Grau · Zaragoza |
| 45' | 🟨 | Álvaro Tejero · Eibar |
| 62' | ⚽ | Jon Bautista · Eibar |
| 67' | ⚽ | Stoichkov · Eibar |
| 77' | 🟨 | Jaume Grau · Zaragoza |
| 83' | 🟨 | Víctor Mollejo Carpintero · Zaragoza |
| 87' | ⚽ | Ager Aketxe · Eibar |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sinan Bakış · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Eibar |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| coach days | 354.00 | 112.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 1.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1542.42 | 1569.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.38 | 41.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.42 | 0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.85 | 0.69 |
| league points | 24.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 6.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.85 | 1.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.93 | 0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.05 | 28.73 |
| state index | -0.38 | 0.78 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.02 | 0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |