← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Oct 8, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Manuel Orellana
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ferrol win | 51% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Cartagena win | 20% | 4.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ferrol −0.5 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Cartagena −0.5 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Juan Carlos · Cartagena |
| 31' | 🟨 | Mikel Rico · Cartagena |
| 40' | ⚽ (pen) | Juan Carlos · Cartagena |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jose Fontán · Cartagena |
| 79' | 🟨 | Alfredo Ortuño · Cartagena |
| 90' | ⚽ | Álvaro Vadillo · Ferrol |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 19 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ferrol | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de A Malata |
| coach days | 979.00 | 37.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.42 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1461.92 | 1438.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.30 | -36.52 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | -0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.33 | 61.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.64 |
| league points | 19.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 2.88 | 2.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 0.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.13 | -0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.89 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 28.07 | 28.72 |
| state index | -0.07 | -0.83 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.06 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |