← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Oct 8, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Álvaro Moreno
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 54% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.21 |
| Burgos win | 17% | 5.81 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos −0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Tenerife −0.75 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.51 |
| Over | 37% | 2.69 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Andy Rodríguez · Burgos |
| 37' | 🟨 | Dauda Mohammed · Tenerife |
| 42' | 🟨 | Álex Corredera · Tenerife |
| 44' | 🟨 | Dauda Mohammed · Tenerife |
| 44' | 🟥 | Dauda Mohammed · Tenerife |
| 45' | 🟨 | Aitor Córdoba · Burgos |
| 56' | 🟨 | Unai Elgezabal · Burgos |
| 64' | ⚽ | Roberto López · Tenerife |
| 67' | 🟨 | Miguel Muñoz Mora · Burgos |
| 69' | ⚽ (pen) | Enric Gallego · Tenerife |
| 77' | ⚽ (pen) | Curro · Burgos |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz |
| coach days | 99.00 | 129.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.86 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1557.82 | 1475.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.03 | 26.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 50.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | — |
| league points | 18.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 4.88 | 3.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | -0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.55 | 27.77 |
| state index | -0.02 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.36 | -0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.00 |