← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Oct 8, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: Salvador Lax
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 60% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.89 |
| Mirandes win | 15% | 6.57 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes −1 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Valladolid −1 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.81 |
| Over | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Stanko Jurić · Valladolid |
| 39' | 🟨 | Sergio Escudero · Valladolid |
| 41' | 🟨 | Alejandro Barbudo Barbu · Mirandes |
| 51' | ⚽ | Ivan Durdov · Mirandes |
| 83' | ⚽ | Mamadou Sylla · Valladolid |
| 85' | 🟨 | Joni Montiel · Valladolid |
| 87' | ⚽ | Mamadou Sylla · Valladolid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ramón Juan · Mirandes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gabriel Martínez · Mirandes |
| 90' | ⚽ | Gabriel Martínez · Mirandes |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sergio Escudero · Valladolid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 6 |
| 9 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valladolid | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla |
| coach days | 190.00 | 99.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 1.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1606.21 | 1445.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.91 | -16.22 |
| eye test v1 | 0.49 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | -0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.80 | 51.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.68 |
| league points | 19.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 3.89 | 2.89 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.41 | -0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.75 | 23.01 |
| state index | 0.89 | -0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.01 | -0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |