← Segunda División 2023 · Sat, Oct 7, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: Adrián Cordero
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 46% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Eldense win | 23% | 4.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca −0.25 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Eldense −0.25 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over | 36% | 2.72 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | 🟨 | Alex Bernal · Eldense |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jérémy Blasco · Huesca |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jesús Clemente · Eldense |
| 45' | 🟨 | Toni Abad · Eldense |
| 76' | 🟨 | Florin Andone · Eldense |
| 84' | 🟨 | Dario Đumić · Eldense |
| 87' | 🟨 | Eddie Salcedo · Eldense |
| 90' | 🟥 | Alex Balboa · Huesca |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mario Soberón · Eldense |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 15 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Eldense |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| coach days | 6.00 | 463.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1457.41 | 1452.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.86 | -29.47 |
| eye test v1 | -0.98 | -0.97 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 55.44 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.72 |
| league points | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 2.89 | 2.89 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.73 | 0.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.32 | 0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.20 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 24.85 | 28.54 |
| state index | -0.78 | -1.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.30 | 0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |