← Segunda División 2023 · Thu, Oct 5, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Dámaso Arcediano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Andorra (club) win | 39% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Zaragoza win | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza −0.25 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Andorra (club) −0.25 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Jaume Grau · Zaragoza |
| 19' | 🟥 | Ruben Bover Izquierdo · Andorra (club) |
| 37' | ⚽ | Víctor Mollejo Carpintero · Zaragoza |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marc Aguado · Zaragoza |
| 50' | 🟨 | Sergio Molina · Andorra (club) |
| 55' | 🟨 | Alejandro Francés · Zaragoza |
| 59' | 🟨 | Toni Moya · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Diego Alende · Andorra (club) |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 5 | Shots | 5 |
| 0 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 0 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Andorra (club) | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadi Nacional |
| coach days | 1007.00 | 338.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 1.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1509.31 | 1554.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.06 | -7.73 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | -0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | -0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | — |
| league points | 11.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 87.60 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 71.00 | 58.20 |
| rest days | 4.92 | 4.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 2.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | 2.32 | 1.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 24.50 | 27.39 |
| state index | -0.27 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.94 | 1.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |