← Segunda División 2023 · Thu, Oct 5, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Andrés Fuentes
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar win | 44% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Mirandes win | 26% | 4.05 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar +0.25 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Mirandes +0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Juan Berrocal · Eibar |
| 27' | 🟨 | Alberto Reina · Mirandes |
| 31' | ⚽ | Jon Bautista · Eibar |
| 39' | ⚽ | Gabriel Martínez · Mirandes |
| 49' | ⚽ | Unai Vencedor · Eibar |
| 55' | ⚽ | Jon Bautista · Eibar |
| 59' | 🟨 | Mario Soriano · Eibar |
| 74' | 🟨 | Pablo Tomeo · Mirandes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 0 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mirandes | Eibar |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Anduva |
| coach days | 96.00 | 96.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.66 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| elo | 1459.24 | 1553.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.08 | 12.55 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | 0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.65 | 0.52 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 51.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.59 |
| league points | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 60.80 |
| rest days | 4.02 | 5.11 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 8.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.08 | 1.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 23.00 | 28.31 |
| state index | -0.26 | 0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.39 | 0.87 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |