← Segunda División 2023 · Wed, Oct 4, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Iván Caparrós
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Leganes win | 26% | 4.04 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Leganes −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.45 |
| Over | 33% | 2.91 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Curro · Burgos |
| 33' | 🟨 | Yvan Neyou · Leganes |
| 36' | 🟨 | Ander Martín · Burgos |
| 45' | 🟨 | Aitor Córdoba · Burgos |
| 58' | 🟨 | Kevin Appin · Burgos |
| 61' | 🟥 | Seydouba Cisse · Leganes |
| 66' | 🟨 | Miguel de la Fuente · Leganes |
| 70' | 🟨 | Miguel Atienza · Burgos |
| 86' | 🟨 | Naim García · Leganes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Curro · Burgos |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 0 | Corners | 8 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burgos | Leganes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de El Plantío |
| coach days | 125.00 | 95.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.24 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1464.18 | 1553.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.73 | 37.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | -0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.75 |
| league points | 10.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 3.13 | 5.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 2.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.58 | -0.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.47 | 26.94 |
| state index | -0.13 | 0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.35 | -0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |