← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Oct 1, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Iosu Galech
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 52% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Mirandes win | 20% | 4.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes −0.75 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Zaragoza −0.75 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.62 |
| Over | 40% | 2.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Sergio Barcia · Mirandes |
| 17' | 🟨 | Jair Amador · Zaragoza |
| 44' | 🟨 | Rubén Sánchez · Mirandes |
| 45' | 🟥 | Sergi Enrich · Zaragoza |
| 88' | ⚽ (og) | Jair Amador · Mirandes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Santiago Mouriño · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pablo Ramón · Mirandes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ivan Durdov · Mirandes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 0 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| coach days | 334.00 | 92.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 3.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1569.80 | 1444.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.23 | -22.38 |
| eye test v1 | -0.57 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 51.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.66 |
| league points | 19.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 5.90 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 2.38 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.81 | 0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.01 | 23.12 |
| state index | 0.41 | -0.80 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.16 | -0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |