← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Oct 1, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: José López
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 52% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Burgos win | 20% | 4.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Burgos −0.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over | 42% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Daniel Ojeda · Burgos |
| 6' | ⚽ | Marcos André · Valladolid |
| 41' | ⚽ | Monchu · Valladolid |
| 68' | ⚽ | Víctor Meseguer · Valladolid |
| 69' | 🟨 | Miguel Muñoz Mora · Burgos |
| 71' | 🟨 | Sergio Escudero · Valladolid |
| 74' | 🟨 | Lucas Rosa · Valladolid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valladolid | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla |
| coach days | 183.00 | 122.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.94 | 1.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1589.08 | 1473.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.93 | 8.59 |
| eye test v1 | 0.24 | 0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.62 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.50 | 48.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.80 |
| league points | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.80 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.40 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.97 | -0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.07 | 27.78 |
| state index | 0.14 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.19 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |