← Segunda División 2023 · Sat, Sep 30, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: José Guzmán
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar win | 54% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Tenerife win | 18% | 5.59 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife −0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Eibar −0.75 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.62 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 48' | 🟨 | José Amo · Tenerife |
| 59' | ⚽ | Stoichkov · Eibar |
| 66' | 🟨 | Quique · Eibar |
| 66' | ⚽ | Quique · Eibar |
| 71' | 🟨 | José Corpas · Eibar |
| 89' | 🟨 | Yacine Qasmi · Eibar |
| 90' | ⚽ | Unai Vencedor · Eibar |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eibar | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa |
| coach days | 91.00 | 91.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 3.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1537.38 | 1562.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.47 | 10.88 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.42 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.70 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.83 |
| league points | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.60 | 41.60 |
| rest days | 7.80 | 4.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.00 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.26 | -0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.08 | 27.49 |
| state index | 0.11 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.00 | -0.86 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |