← Segunda División 2023 · Sat, Sep 23, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Adrián Cordero
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 36% | 2.71 |
| Burgos win | 32% | 3.02 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Burgos +0 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | José Antonio Caro · Burgos |
| 23' | 🟨 | Eduardo Espiau · Burgos |
| 38' | ⚽ (pen) | Curro · Burgos |
| 45' | 🟨 | Nicolás Fernández · Elche CF |
| 45' | ⚽ | Curro · Burgos |
| 66' | ⚽ | Daniel Ojeda · Burgos |
| 81' | 🟨 | Kevin Appin · Burgos |
| 88' | ⚽ | Álex Bermejo Escribano · Burgos |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 9 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burgos | Elche CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de El Plantío |
| coach days | 114.00 | 206.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1451.86 | 1566.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.73 | 18.70 |
| eye test v1 | -0.15 | 0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.40 | 50.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.81 |
| league points | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.07 | 0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| squad age | — | 28.54 |
| state index | -0.28 | 0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |