← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Sep 17, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Trujillo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amorebieta win | 39% | 2.48 |
| Mirandes win | 30% | 3.24 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes −0.25 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Amorebieta −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.63 |
| Over | 40% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Ryan Edwards · Amorebieta |
| 8' | ⚽ | Ryan Edwards · Amorebieta |
| 40' | 🟨 | Erik Morán · Amorebieta |
| 72' | 🟨 | Eneko Jauregi · Amorebieta |
| 72' | 🟨 | Pablo Ramón · Mirandes |
| 79' | 🟨 | Àlex Carbonell · Amorebieta |
| 83' | 🟨 | Alberto Reina · Mirandes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 24 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Amorebieta | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Instalaciones de Lezama Campo 2 |
| coach days | 565.00 | 78.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.27 | 4.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1450.62 | 1472.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.00 | -10.44 |
| eye test v1 | -0.43 | 0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 53.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| league points | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.20 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 6.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.57 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.81 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.49 | 23.31 |
| state index | 0.01 | -0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.60 | -1.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |