← Segunda División 2023 · Sat, Sep 16, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Rubén Ávalos
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 54% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Burgos win | 18% | 5.59 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Albacete −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ (pen) | Alberto Quiles · Albacete |
| 45' | 🟨 | Esteban Saveljich · Burgos |
| 53' | ⚽ | Cristian Glauder · Albacete |
| 60' | ⚽ | Fernando Niño · Burgos |
| 76' | 🟨 | Lander Olaetxea · Albacete |
| 86' | 🟨 | Ander Martín · Burgos |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Carlos Belmonte |
| coach days | 472.00 | 107.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 1.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1509.71 | 1458.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.53 | 0.17 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 50.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.77 |
| league points | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.80 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | — |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.74 | 0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.29 | 27.46 |
| state index | -0.08 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.47 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |