← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Sep 10, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Alejandro Quintero
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 41% | 2.42 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.22 |
| Elche CF win | 29% | 3.29 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF −0.25 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Valladolid −0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.84 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | ⚽ | Gustavo Henrique · Valladolid |
| 43' | 🟨 | Tete Morente · Elche CF |
| 52' | 🟥 | Mario Gaspar · Elche CF |
| 53' | ⚽ | Sergio León · Elche CF |
| 63' | 🟨 | Marcos André · Valladolid |
| 88' | 🟨 | Jose Salinas · Elche CF |
| 89' | 🟨 | Flavien Boyomo · Valladolid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Iván Sánchez · Valladolid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Joni Montiel · Valladolid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Joni Montiel · Valladolid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Raúl Moro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valladolid | Elche CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla |
| 90' | 🟥 | Joni Montiel · Valladolid |
| coach days | 162.00 | 193.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.20 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1576.30 | 1556.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.15 | -15.51 |
| eye test v1 | -0.40 | 0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 42.60 | 52.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.83 |
| league points | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.40 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 8.98 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.39 | 0.82 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.28 | 29.61 |
| state index | -0.01 | -0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.87 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |