← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Sep 10, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Saúl Ais
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Cartagena win | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Cartagena +0 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over | 36% | 2.72 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Manu Vallejo · Zaragoza |
| 31' | ⚽ | Arnau Solà · Cartagena |
| 37' | 🟨 | Jony Álamo · Cartagena |
| 39' | ⚽ (og) | Pedro Alcala · Zaragoza |
| 42' | 🟨 | Jair Amador · Zaragoza |
| 85' | 🟨 | Alfredo Ortuño · Cartagena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Víctor Mollejo Carpintero · Zaragoza |
| 90' | ⚽ | Víctor Mollejo Carpintero · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cartagena | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Cartagonova |
| coach days | 9.00 | 313.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1475.29 | 1572.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.03 | 52.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.42 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.55 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.30 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.85 |
| league points | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 7.90 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.06 | 0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.79 | 27.53 |
| state index | -0.34 | 0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |