← Segunda División 2023 · Sat, Sep 9, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: Rafael Sánchez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar win | 38% | 2.51 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 |
| Burgos win | 31% | 3.36 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos +0.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Eibar +0.25 | 47% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.48 |
| Over | 36% | 2.78 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Miguel Atienza · Burgos |
| 48' | 🟨 | Matos · Burgos |
| 55' | 🟨 | Juan Berrocal · Eibar |
| 61' | 🟨 | Luca Zidane · Eibar |
| 63' | 🟨 | Cristián Gutiérrez · Eibar |
| 65' | ⚽ (pen) | Curro · Burgos |
| 90' | 🟨 | Juan Berrocal · Eibar |
| 90' | 🟥 | Juan Berrocal · Eibar |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 10 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burgos | Eibar |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de El Plantío |
| coach days | 100.00 | 70.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 3.29 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.25 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1448.20 | 1528.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.80 | -45.76 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.37 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.20 | 50.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.53 |
| league points | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 62.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 0.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.42 | 1.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.32 | 28.07 |
| state index | -0.37 | -0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.04 | 0.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |