← Segunda División 2023 · Fri, Sep 1, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: José Guzmán
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Valladolid win | 27% | 3.81 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Valladolid −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Gustavo Henrique · Valladolid |
| 17' | ⚽ | Mohammed Djetei · Albacete |
| 23' | 🟨 | Monchu · Valladolid |
| 29' | 🟨 | John Victor · Valladolid |
| 52' | 🟨 | Iván Sánchez · Valladolid |
| 58' | 🟨 | Joni Montiel · Valladolid |
| 61' | ⚽ | Agus Medina · Albacete |
| 81' | 🟨 | Mohammed Djetei · Albacete |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Carlos Belmonte |
| coach days | 457.00 | 153.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 3.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1504.17 | 1592.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.04 | -23.57 |
| eye test v1 | 0.35 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 44.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | — |
| league points | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.00 | 61.60 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.87 | 1.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.95 | 27.85 |
| state index | -0.65 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.41 | 0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |