← Serie B 2023 · Fri, May 10, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Perenzoni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria win | 48% | 2.20 |
| Catanzaro win | 26% | 4.05 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.88 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria +0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Catanzaro +0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Kevin Miranda · Catanzaro |
| 4' | ⚽ (pen) | Fabio Borini · Sampdoria |
| 10' | 🟨 | Facundo González · Sampdoria |
| 28' | 🟨 | Daniele Ghilardi · Sampdoria |
| 39' | ⚽ | Andrea Oliveri · Catanzaro |
| 57' | ⚽ | Fabio Borini · Sampdoria |
| 60' | ⚽ | Fabio Borini · Sampdoria |
| 77' | 🟨 | Simone Giordano · Sampdoria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 17 |
| 3 | On target | 9 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 6 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Catanzaro | Sampdoria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Nicola Ceravolo |
| coach days | 921.00 | 344.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.85 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1468.21 | 1512.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.68 | 1.69 |
| eye test v1 | -0.41 | -0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.79 |
| league points | 60.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.40 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 5.23 | 5.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 1.46 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.28 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.68 | 24.63 |
| state index | -0.12 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.55 | 0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.11 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |